Ukraine War: Selected news, views, & analysis | ||||
• Moon of Alabama, blog • Antiwar.com, blog • Consortium News, blog • Caitlin Johnstone, blog • Judge Andrew Napolitano, podcast • Larry Johnson, blog & podcast • Douglas MacGregor, interviews & articles • Alastair Crooke, blog • The Grayzone, blog • Simplicius, blog • SouthFront, video • St. Pete for Peace, website • The Duran, podcast • The Automatic Earth, blog Ukraine's top "disinformation" sources -- we respect and read many of them. To understand we must think and compare. We do not agree with all the postings on all these sites. That would be an unrealistic expectation anywhere. |
December 2024 Dec 31, 2024
The US will provide Kiev with $15 billion, leveraging future revenues from frozen Russian central bank assets, Ukrainian Prime Minister Denis Shmigal announced on Monday. The Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov has previously said about Washington’s purported illegal transfer of Russian funds to Kiev that Moscow may challenge it in court. The American funding is part of a broader $20 billion contribution under the G7’s $50 billion loan framework to Ukraine. The agreement was signed by Ukraine’s Ministry of Finance and the World Bank under the PEACE in Ukraine initiative, Shmigal claimed, in a post on his Telegram channel. The G7, comprising the US, Canada, Japan, the UK, France, Germany, and Italy, initially pledged the $50 billion loan in June 2022, using profits from frozen Russian assets as collateral. Of the estimated $300 billion immobilized, $213 billion is held in the Brussels-based clearinghouse Euroclear.• Biden Administration Announces Nearly $6 Billion in New Ukraine Aid, Dave DeCamp, Antiwar.com, Dec 30, 2024 The Biden administration on Monday announced nearly $6 billion in new aid for Ukraine as it’s determined to escalate the proxy war as much as possible before President-elect Donald Trump is inaugurated on January 20, 2025.DeCamp's concise, factual articles are impossible to summarize. Read the original. • Biden Unveils $5.9BN In Military & Budget Aid To Ukraine As Pre-Trump Surge Continues, ZeroHedge, Dec 30, 2024 • Genuine “Power Politics” in Ukraine and Eastern Europe, Larry S. Johnson, Dec 29, 2024 Nicely summarized. • White House Tells Ukraine to Pull Its Demoralized Forces From Russia, Kyle Anzalone, The Libertarian Institute, Dec 29, 2024 The Joe Biden administration believes that Ukrainian forces are on the verge of a total loss in Russia’s Kursk Oblast and is now advising Kiev to pull its troops back. Reporting on Kiev’s losses in Kursk, the AP reports the Ukrainian forces have become “demoralized.”I have seen no evidence of North Korean troops being present in this war. • Lavrov Says Russia’s ‘Not Satisfied’ With Proposals From Trump Team To End Ukraine War, Dave DeCamp, Antiwar.com, Dec 29, 2024 Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said Sunday that Moscow was “not satisfied” with reported proposals being discussed by President-elect Donald Trump and his transition team to end the war in Ukraine. Dec 29, 2024
Russia is entering a very dangerous time period. It may sound cliche to say this because for a long time now we’ve constantly spoken of Ukraine’s “collapse”, but this time it really is getting to that point where things are hitting the wall. Particularly depending on what Trump does, Ukraine may not last out the next year. Zelensky is now forced to embark on a major global operation to “fire all guns” in provoking Russia to the maximum, full tilt.Featured • The Moral Bankruptcy of the West, John J. Mearsheimer, Dec 24, 2024 It's across the board, i.e. across many issues foreign and domestic. We have to keep up the pressure, the well-reasoned, firm pressure on governments from the outside, proposing workable answers, and joining those governments where appropriate and feasible. It is also a legal bankruptcy in many areas, e.g. starting a nuclear arms in the teeth of the NPT, or destroying Nordstream, or running the coup in Ukraine in 2014 and then immediately supporting the ethnic cleansing of the Donbass. The purpose of that coup was to wreak a strategic defeat upon Russia. That's still the lodestone of U.S. policy toward Russia. Featured • Dmitry Trenin: What Ukraine should look like after Russia’s victory, RT, Dec 20, 2024 An informed discussion of this article can be found here: Dmitry Trenin’s thoughts on how the Ukraine war may end - Gilbert Doctorow. • Scott Ritter: Nothing's going to stop Russia from winning this war, X, Dec 28, 2024 Scott Ritter: Nothing's going to stop Russia from winning this war.• Ukraine Did It the American Way and is Paying a Terrible Price, Larry C. Johnson, SONAR21, Dec 28, 2024 • US Senator slams Biden’s $1.25 billion weaponry package for Ukraine, RT, Dec 28, 2024 Utah Senator Mike Lee has criticized the proposed allocation of a new lavish weaponry package for Kiev, calling it ‘money laundering.’ The Republican senator took to X on Sunday, responding to an AP post reporting on a looming $1.25 billion weaponry package, expected to be announced by the outgoing Biden administration shortly. “Please no more money to Ukraine. There’s only so much they can launder,” Lee wrote on his account with the ‘BasedMikeLee’ handle, accompanying the post with a picture of the Ukrainian flag bearing the “Universal symbol for money laundering” inscription. The upcoming package is expected to include a “significant amount” of various munitions, including missiles for NASAMS and HAWK anti-aircraft systems, munitions for Stinger MANPADs, as well as artillery shells in 155- and 105-mm caliber, AP reported, citing unnamed US officials.I think it's more pure spite -- hatred of Trump, hatred of Russia. Dec 28, 2024
Robert Fico says it is “incomprehensible” for Kiev to refuse a ceasefire, and warns that it will pay a “huge price.”• US to send $1.25 billion in weapons to Ukraine, pushing to get aid out before Biden leaves office, Lolita C. Baldor and Matthew Lee, AP, Dec 27, 2024 The United States is expected to announce that it will send $1.25 billion in military assistance to Ukraine, U.S. officials said Friday, as the Biden administration pushes to get as much aid to Kyiv as possible before leaving office on Jan. 20. Dec 27, 2024
For decades, Germany was the envy of the world: a shining example of how a war-torn nation could rise from the ashes to become Europe’s economic powerhouse. This success was no accident. Germany’s prosperity rested on three key pillars: access to cheap Russian energy, unfettered free trade with the United States and other Western allies, and minimal military spending thanks to American security guarantees during the Cold War. These factors allowed Germany to build an unparalleled industrial economy, maintain a generous welfare state, and dominate global markets.Most analysts fail to see how cheap energy is the foundation, not just of Germany's economy, but every industrialized economy. Renewable energy sources cannot support an industrial society as we know it. Let that sink in. We need to transition to another way of life, which will be gentler and more modest and will value human beings and nature. It will be more localized and it will be happier. The present level of waste will not continue. We need to get with the program -- the human program -- and abandon our reckless greed, or we will quickly go the way of the dinosaurs. Meanwhile some elementary energy knowledge is required of our leaders. Germany has indeed cooked its own goose. • Medley Report: Bilderberg News, Turkey Sets Court in Syria, Ukraine Grid Strikes, Simplicius, Dec 26, 2024 Important for its discussion of the workforce crisis in the military, the peek into military-corporate influence in transnational strategizing and targeting in the Ukraine war, the review of the electric war in Ukraine (now with an expanded target list), Ukrainian conditions in the field in the Kursk salient, and the neo-Ottoman sentiment in Turkey. • When You’re Losing a War, Try Terrorism — The Ukrainian Gambit, Larry S. Johnson, SONAR21, Dec 26, 2024 In addition to this to-the-point entry, Larry has an excellent website for those seeking more detail from various interviews with other independent analysts. By the way, I believe the best way for most people -- all but propaganda professionals -- to read the New York Times and other mainstream publications on foreign policy and other highly-propagandized topics is to read reviews of articles by competent professional reviewers such as those we feature here. There is no way most people can parse truth from falsehood in these largely-state-controlled outlets in a limited amount of time otherwise. • Putin Reveals Biden Offered To Postpone Ukraine's NATO Entry As Compromise, ZeroHedge, Dec 26, 2024 Russian President Vladimir Putin fielded questions from journalists Thursday at the conclusion of the Supreme Eurasian Economic Council meeting held outside St. Petersburg. The Russian-led EEU economic bloc includes member states Armenia, Belarus, Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan. Among the more interesting moments was when Putin revealed what President Biden previously offered him in order to avert the Ukraine conflict, regarding the question of Kiev’s NATO membership. The comments came in the context of a question over Trump’s reported peace plan and the idea of freezing the front lines. Putin described that such a plan is nothing new, and added the following per state media translation: Dec 26, 2024
Reaching a truce in the Ukrainian conflict is a path to nowhere, and Russia will not be satisfied with idle talks about settlement, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said on Thursday.• FSB Foils Ukraine-Run Assassination Plots Against High-Level Russian Defense Officials, Sputnik International, Dec 26, 2024 MOSCOW (Sputnik) - On Thursday, Russia's Federal Security Service (FSB) announced that it had thwarted a series of assassination plots, orchestrated by Ukrainian intelligence, targeting high-ranking Russian defense officials involved in the military operation in Ukraine, as well as their family members.• Democracy Dies in the EU: Romania Edition, Conor Gallagher, naked capitalism, Dec 25, 2024 Complicated and strange, but given where it is and what Romania means to NATO, important. • Until the West Stops Lying About Russia and Ukraine, There Will Be No Peace, Larry C. Johnson, SONAR21, Dec 24, 2024 A simple thesis, amply supported by the facts -- not some facts, but the facts -- and quite true. Postmodern Western nihilists will insist that there are is no such thing as "the facts." There is such a thing as truth and we must be devoted to finding and communicating it, not just convenient and misleading pieces of "truth" selected for the purpose of lying. • The Case for Dismantling the Rules-Based International Order, Glenn Diesen, Dec 23, 2024 Dec 25, 2024
But the fact is that the WSJ story is not really about Biden’s dementia or ‘slow mental decline’ as they make it seem—this is merely the distracting smokescreen they’ve utilized to paper over the far more sinister unspoken revelations. And those have to do with the centralization of power in the hands of a small clique of unelected compradors and bureaucrats, which is being mirrored in every major Western country.It occurs to me that many people miss important insights because they do not agree with (or have no knowledge of) parts of an essay. Featured • Righty Tighty: A Simple Way Donald Trump Can End the Ukraine and Israel Wars, Adam Dick, Ron Paul Institute, Dec 22, 2024 Upon his inauguration as president, Donald Trump will become the leader of a United States executive branch mired in two major wars via its continuing pumping of money, weapons, and intelligence into support of the Ukraine and Israel governments. Trump has declared his opposition to the continuation of these wars. But, how can he end them? The means by which Trump can end the wars is simpler than many Americans think. This means just does not come to mind for many Americans because it is far removed from the course US presidents have tended to pursue over the last few decades. Righty tighty. That’s it. Taking the US out of these wars is as simple as turning off a standard outdoor water faucet. President Joe Biden has turned the handle all the way lefty loosey. Trump should just turn it back all the way. Shut off the money flow. Shut off the weapons flow. Shut off the intelligence flow.• No Illusions: Russia Seeks Legally Binding Solutions to Ukraine Crisis, Sputnik International, Dec 25, 2024 Lavrov dismissed the notion of a ceasefire in Ukraine, emphasizing that only legally binding agreements that address the conflict's root causes can pave the way for lasting peace.• EU in denial about defeat in Ukraine – Orban, RT, Dec 24, 2024 Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has accused the European Union of being in denial about its inability to secure a victory for Ukraine in the conflict with Russia. Speaking to the broadcaster M1 on Sunday, Orban criticized the bloc’s leaders for ignoring the reality on the ground and asserted that their current approach is merely prolonging the conflict without achieving meaningful results. In recent months, Russian forces have advanced rapidly in the Donbass region, steadily pushing westward since capturing the strategic town of Avdeevka in February. In October, they seized another key Ukrainian stronghold, the town of Ugledar, and are now close to taking control of Kurakhovo, a major Ukrainian logistical hub. “The reality is that Ukraine is not winning on the battlefield,” Orban said during the interview.• Zelensky admits offering money to Slovak PM, RT, Dec 24, 2024 Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky has confirmed that he offered money to Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico during their recent meeting in Brussels, amid a row between the two nations over the transit of Russian gas.Kiev intends to cut supplies of Russian fuel through its territory when a five-year transit contract expires at the end of the year, which Slovakia says would undermine its energy security. After a meeting of EU leaders with Zelensky last week, Fico claimed he had rejected an offer of €500 million ($520 million) in exchange for Bratislava’s backing of the Ukrainian bid to join NATO. Zelensky disputed the reason for his proposal in a post on X on Tuesday. “We offered him solutions regarding potential compensation for Slovaks – the Slovaks specifically – for losses from Russian transit, as well as alternatives for transit – any other gas, not Russian, at the request of the European Commission,” he wrote. Dec 24, 2024
Moldovan President Maia Sandu has openly discussed planning a military operation to seize control of the breakaway region of Transnistria, which hosts a Russian peacekeeping contingent, Moscow’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) has claimed. According to the agency, Sandu became “emotionally unstable” at a recent meeting with government officials over Ukraine’s decision to cut the flow of Russian gas to Moldova, triggering fears of an energy crisis in the EU candidate state. Kiev has refused to reopen talks with Moscow on any future transit, prompting Slovakia’s Prime Minister Robert Fico to accuse Ukraine of graft. The news met with reported exasperation in Moldova, which is heavily reliant on Russian gas.• Kiev increasingly sees conflict ending in 2025 – WaPo, RT, Dec 23, 2024 Ukrainian officials are “starting to believe” that the conflict with Russia will be resolved next year, a senior member of Vladimir Zelensky’s government has reportedly told the Washington Post. The shift in attitude is a direct result of US President-elect Donald Trump’s public talk of a settlement, the official added. Trump promised on the campaign trail to end the conflict within a day of taking office, although he has since admitted that doing so may take longer. The US president-elect has revealed few details about how he plans to achieve this, but media leaks and comments from his closest advisers suggest that he will push to freeze the fighting along the current line of contact, using the leverage of US military aid to Ukraine to force Zelensky into talks with Putin. Dec 23, 2024
Russia should have launched its military campaign against Kiev earlier, after realizing that neither Ukraine nor its Western backers were committed to a peaceful settlement of the Donbass crisis, President Vladimir Putin has said. In an interview with Russian journalist Pavel Zarubin on Sunday, Putin acknowledged that while it is difficult to give the ideal date for the special military operation in hindsight, Russians “should have gotten our bearings earlier and understood that our opponents are not going to implement the Minsk agreements, that they are simply leading us by the nose, misleading us.” A crime, Putin continued, can result from either action or inaction. “Our inaction would have been a crime against the interests of Russia and those of her people,” the president stressed.The whole idea of the U.S. Ukraine operation was to give Russia no choice -- become a conquered state via inaction, or lose a hybrid war and become a conquered state via action. Both paths would lead to the breakup of Russia, whether or not there was a Yeltsinization stage in between. That was the plan and many actions were taken by the U.S. in concert to bring it about. • Kremlin assesses chances of Trump-Putin meeting, RT, Dec 23, 2024 No preparations have yet been made for a meeting between Russian President Vladimir Putin and US President-elect Donald Trump, Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov has said. On Sunday, Trump reiterated that he wanted to resolve the Ukraine conflict, signaling that he would not rule out a sit-down with the Russian leader to stop the bloodshed.• Western Aid Covers Nearly 90% of Ukraine's Spending in 2022-2024 – Analysis, Oleg Burunov, Sputnik International, Dec 22, 2024 Russia has repeatedly warned that the US and its Western sponsors’ assistance to the Kiev regime will only prolong the Ukraine conflict. Western financing of Ukraine reached a whopping $238.5 billion from February 2022 to the beginning of December 2024, which approximately corresponds to 87% of the country s budget expenses, Sputnik s research based on information from the Ukrainian Finance Ministry, the University of Kiel, and open data has shown.Ilargi Mejier: "It's not an actual country." Quite true. It has not been a sovereign country since 2014, and in that same year, three provinces voted to secede. All three wanted to rejoin Russia; Crimea was accepted and the other two were not. Finally in 2022, Russia accept Donetsk and Lugansk as part of the Russian Federation. Under the self-determination sections of the U.N. Charter, those three provinces were not part of Ukraine when the SMO began. • Geopolitical auto-asphyxiation: Here’s why Germany is heading for irreversible decline, Tarik Cyril Amar, RT, Dec 22, 2024 Berlin is unable or unwilling to finally abandon a pernicious groupthink that subordinates its interests to Washington’s misguided political agenda.This is not a simplistic conclusion. A renewed Ostpolitik also means actual sovereignty, competence, and realism. Dec 22, 2024
We can see that, as is always the case, Trump appears to be backsliding on all campaign promises. Early reports claimed he was exploring options to support Israel striking Iran, and now the new reports about continuing military aid to Ukraine. It seems increasingly likely the swamp will slowly assimilate Trump’s second term leading ultimately to little difference in foreign policy from the Biden administration.Excellent update, good analysis of relative losses in the war, building on his prior work. As for Trump backsliding, that does appear to be the case. Continuation of past foreign policies is always a good first first guess at a change of US administrations. Why? Because the foreign policy Blob has more power than the president. See National Security and Double Government, Glennon. • Trump Reportedly Plans To Continue Aid To Ukraine But Will Raise NATO Spending To 5%, ZeroHedge, Dec 21, 2024 President-elect Donald Trump is expected to continue sending military aid to Ukraine, despite Trump earlier on the campaign trail mocking Zelensky for being the “greatest salesman on earth” for his getting tens of billions of US taxpayers’ money with ease. A new Financial Times report has cited European officials who say Trump’s team told them he plans to continue military aid to Kiev after his inauguration. He’s reportedly trying to calm fears of an immediate US withdrawal of support, and this is connected to an expected Trump policy for NATO member states to increase defense spending to 5% of their GDP. “Donald Trump’s team has told European officials that the incoming US president will demand Nato member states increase defense spending to 5% of GDP, but plans to continue supplying military aid to Ukraine,” FT writes.So much for peace in Ukraine. I think Team Trump is misreading Russia. As for the 5% plan, the NATO countries in Europe won't do it. Dec 21, 2024
Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky talks to media at the end of an EU Summit meeting in Brussels.• NATO states wary about training soldiers in Ukraine – media, RT, Dec 20, 2024 Western officials are concerned about British plans to potentially resume the training of Kiev’s troops inside Ukraine, The Times reported on Friday, citing sources familiar with the matter. The UK is among the nations that have trained the Ukrainian military on their soil. Valery Zaluzhny, Kiev’s former top general who has been appointed ambassador to London, toured a boot camp in southern England last month to tell these recruits that they should not be afraid to die for their country. This week, British Defense Secretary John Healey said the UK could send military personnel to Ukraine. Such a move would help the Ukrainians “motivate and mobilize more recruits,” he suggested during a visit to Kiev. “The closer to the front, the more efficient the training is,” a Western official told The Times, discussing the merits and drawbacks of such a deployment. “But it’s fair to say the Russians would target any kind of Western assistance inside Ukraine.”• West has pumped over $300 billion into Ukraine – Orban, RT, Dec 20, 2024 The US and the EU have provided over $300 billion in financial aid and military assistance to Kiev since the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has said. Such a huge amount of money “could have done wonders” had it been spent to improve the lives of people within the EU, he said in an interview with Kossuth radio on Friday. Orban highlighted the evolving military situation, noting that “the balance of power on the frontlines is shifting day by day” in Russia’s favor. He also pointed to the political changes expected in the US when Donald Trump returns to the White House next month. The developments call for leaders in EU capitals to embrace a more pragmatic approach to ensuring stability and economic resilience within the bloc, Orban believes.• US has spent $100 billion on Ukraine – Blinken, RT, Dec 19, 2024 Washington has provided around $100 billion in financial aid and military assistance to Kiev since the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken has said. The bulk of the money was spent inside the US on defense manufacturing, he told the Council on Foreign Relations in New York on Wednesday. Dec 20, 2024
Russian President Vladimir Putin has challenged the West to put their modern air defense systems up against Moscow’s new hypersonic Oreshnik missile in what would be a “technological duel.” During his annual end-of-year press conference on Thursday, Putin was asked to comment on opinions expressed by some foreign military experts suggesting that the Oreshnik can easily be shot down by Western missile defense systems. “Well, if those Western experts you mentioned believe that, they should suggest to their employers in the West and the US to conduct a technological experiment. For instance, a high-tech duel of the 21st century. Let them identify a target in Kiev, concentrate all their air defense and missile defense systems there, and then we will strike it with an Oreshnik. Let’s see what happens. We are ready for such an experiment. Is the other side ready?” Putin asked.• ‘Deeply immoral’ Anglo-Americans sabotaged Ukraine peace – ex-Swiss ambassador, RT, Dec 19, 2024 Veteran Swiss diplomat Jean-Daniel Ruch has alleged that the US and UK “immorally” prevented Ukraine and Russia from sealing a truce back in April 2022 in the hope of dealing a blow to Moscow. The former official, who at the time served as Swiss ambassador to Türkiye, was in the country when peace talks were taking place. In Istanbul, Ukraine and Russia preliminarily agreed to a draft truce under which Kiev would have renounced its NATO membership aspirations, declared neutrality, and limited the size of its armed forces in exchange for international security guarantees. However, Ukrainian negotiators abruptly pulled out, with Moscow later claiming that then British Prime Minister Boris Johnson had urged the Ukrainian leadership not to sign any accord and to “just continue fighting.”Absolutely correct. The Ukrainian carnage rate is roughly ten times that of Vietnam for U.S. soldiers in KIA per year. Dec 19, 2024
Ukraine has launched a missile attack against a large chemical plant in Russia’s southern Rostov Region, the Russian Ministry of Defense has reported. According to the military, six American-made ATACMS tactical missiles and four air-launched Storm Shadow cruise missiles were used in Wednesday's assault.• Alleged Killer of General Kirillov Arrested, But Holes Remain in the Story, Larry C. Johnson, SONAR21, Dec 18, 2024 Thoughtful. Dec 18, 2024
One of NATO's two newest members, Finland, is urging caution as some European leaders are considering a negotiated end to the Ukraine war which would involve sending Western peacekeeping forces. The incoming Trump administration is reportedly keen on the idea.• Russia’s Chief Of Staff: Ukraine Lost A Million Men Since The Start Of The Military Operation, South Front, Dec 18, 2024 “The enemy’s losses since the beginning of the special operation amount to about one million dead and wounded,” Gerasimov stressed.• Evidence Speaks For Itself: Ukraine’s Direct Role in Russia’s Chem Defense Chief’s Murder, Svetlana Ekimenko, Sputnik International, Dec 18, 2024 More background, from Russia's point of view. Highly credible, in my POV. Here in the U.S. we live in a cesspool of lies, generally speaking. Dec 17, 2024
Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, the head of Russia’s Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Forces (RChBZ), has died in a blast together with his aide. According to investigators, an explosive device hidden in a scooter was detonated on Tuesday morning near the entrance of a residential building in Moscow’s south-east.Designed to be a provocation against Russia and to put Putin into a vise between the careful application of force that has characterized Russia's actions in Ukraine and the military which will want to hurt somebody, or many somebodies. This will steel Russian resolve and unite public opinion against the Kiev regime, that's for sure. They are a sickening bunch, IMO. And our cat's paw. Featured • Jeffrey Sachs on how Joe Biden has been the most destructive president in American history, and how Donald Trump can repair the damage, Tucker Carlson, Dec 16, 2024 (0:00) The Regime Change in Syria (8:48) What Is Greater Israel? (21:45) Were Americans Involved in the Overthrowing of Assad? (34:26) War With China by 2027 (40:22) Biden’s Attempt to Sabotage Trump (46:10) The Attempted Coup of South Korea (51:20) Jeffrey Sachs' Warning to Trump of Potential Nuclear War (55:18) Will We See the Declassification of the 9/11 Documents? (1:07:11) Will Trump Pardon Snowden and Assange? (1:16:43) The Most Important Appointment of Trump’s Cabinet (1:26:29) Biden’s Attempt to Kill Putin (1:35:58) Can Trump Bring Peace? (1:45:44) Is War With Iran Inevitable? (1:51:21) Why Corporate Media Hates Jeffrey Sachs A very important conversation. • SITREP 12/16/24: Negotiations Talk Curdles as Ukraine Loses More Territory, Simplicius, Dec 16, 2024 Intelligent reporting and theorizing per usual. Both sides are bleeding in this war but Ukraine is slowly bleeding out. • Trudeau Considering Quitting After Canadian FinMin Freeland Unexpectedly Resigns: Report, ZeroHedge, Dec 16, 2024 Update (2:30pm ET): Canada’s CTV News reports that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is considering interrupting Parliament (prorogation) or resignation according to unnamed sources. The sources say he has spoken to his cabinet and plans to address Parliament later on Monday. This comes after finance minister Chrystia Freeland resigned earlier on Monday citing disagreements over how to deal with tariff threats from US president-elect Donald Trump. If confirmed, it would mean government collapse in 4 of the staunchest, and most developed “non-banana republic” Western democracies: France, Germany, South Korea and now Canada. And, of course, we use the term “non-banana republic” sarcastically. As for Turdeau, his odds of being Tru-done just spiked to 88% on Polymarket.Don't let the door hit you on the way out. Freeland is the granddaughter of an Ukrainian mass murderer and a rabid supporter of Ukraine today. Trudeau should have resigned when his government brought an actual Nazi butcher into the Canadian parliament to applause, or earlier when he tyrannically crushed the truck driver strike. After his prior blackface fun-and-games came to light, he should never have been elected. Like some other leaders too close to the U.S., he is a pawn of larger forces. • German economy is ‘unraveling’ – Bloomberg, RT, Dec 16, 2024 Germany is approaching a point of no return amid a deepening economic downturn and political uncertainty, Bloomberg reported on Monday. Facing a second year of zero growth, the EU’s largest economy is on a path to decline that threatens to become irreversible, the outlet warned. Estimates show that after five years of stagnation, the German economy is now 5% smaller than it could have been if the pre-pandemic growth trend had persisted. The global economic slowdown, along with years of “poor” decisions has hit Germany hard, the article stated. Its export-driven industry, accounting for about 30% of its GDP, faces structural challenges, such as the loss of cheap Russian energy and the struggles of automotive giants Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz, hit by soaring energy costs and increased competition from China.Ilargi: "They volunteered." Or rather Scholz and Co. volunteered. • "The Timing Is Absolutely Terrible": German Government Collapses Just One Week After French Implosion, ZeroHedge, Dec 16, 2024 Europe is disintegrating as legacy political regimes are collapsing over across the world. Just one week after Marine Le Pen precipitated the collapse of the French government, on Monday, Chancellor Olaf Scholz lost a confidence vote in the German Parliament on Monday, a defeat that effectively ended the increasingly unpopular government he has led since 2021 and ushered in elections early next year. German lawmakers voted to dissolve the existing government by a vote of 394 to 207, with 116 abstaining. The collapse of the government just nine months before elections had been scheduled was an extraordinary moment for Germany, once Europe’s powerhouse but now a laughingstock at the mercy of both China and Russia.All because of being a U.S. vassal that passively allowed the U.S. to blow up its main natural gas supply and for bizarre reasons -- stupidity, corruption, vassalage -- jumped enthusiastically aboard the Ukraine war train. • Western leaders think they’re chosen by God – Putin, RT, Dec 16, 2024 Western countries continue to act as if they are God’s representatives on Earth by trying to maintain their global dominance through imposing duplicitous rules, Russian President Vladimir Putin has said. Speaking at a meeting of top Russian Defense Ministry officials on Monday, Putin noted that the military and political situation in the world remains complicated and unstable, pointing to the bloodshed in the Middle East and other regions of the world. The president stated that the current US administration, as well as most other Western governments, are still trying to preserve their global hegemony and force the international community to play by their “so-called rules” that constantly change and distort in a way that is convenient for them.It will not hurt to republish another part of Putin's remarks to the Defense Ministry, because I think the headline is exactly right. We have commented again and again how the Western liberal order has acquired an increasingly weaponized, messianic dimension, which insulates its authors from reality and provides a propaganda theme that is comfortable for the egos of citizens. Dec 16, 2024
The US and its allies are openly brutalizing oppressed peoples around the world, the legendary musician and activist has said.Featured • PATRICK LAWRENCE: Blinded to Syria, Consortium News, Dec 15, 2024 One, the U.S. and its trans–Atlantic allies are now thoroughly committed to mass violence. This means it is difficult to avoid concluding that the Western powers and Israel will turn to Iran once Syria as a functioning polity has been thoroughly disabled.Many good people still think that the U.S. "Ukraine project," which was designed since the "Orange Revolution" in 2004 to cause instability and war, is somehow noble. It is not at all noble. It is the Cold War Unending, and nothing else. • Ukraine and Syria, A Western Plan Goes Awry, Larry C. Johnson, SONAR21, Dec 16, 2024 Let’s start with the situation in Ukraine. There is a growing atmosphere of desperation and panic among Western leaders as they watch Ukraine’s military collapse along the entire front and cast about for a strategy to stave off Ukraine’s defeat. But there is no viable solution. Russian military operations that are closing in on the formerly critical logistics center of Pokrovsk is emblematic of the dire situation confronting the Ukrainians:• South Korea - Impeached Coup President 'Aligned With Washington's Values', Moon of Alabama, Dec 16, 2024 During the last years it has become obvious to even shallower minds that 'western values' are just a marketing slogan used to hide the enormous brutality with which the 'west' is trying to bend the world to its will.Today's theme. • Bloodshed, Chaos and US Manipulation: Putin Paints Grim Global Picture at Defense Meeting, Sputnik International, Dec 16, 2024 "Under the pretext of a so-called Russian threat, [the US] frightens its population by claiming we are planning to attack someone," Putin said. "The tactic is simple: they push us to the red line, beyond which we cannot retreat, and when we respond, they escalate fears of a Russian threat."• UK PM calls for ‘maximum pain’ on Russia, RT, Dec 15, 2024 British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has called on his fellow G7 leaders to “continue maximizing Putin’s pain” through economic sanctions on Russia and increased military aid to Ukraine. During a video conference on Friday, “the Prime Minister said that with [Russian President Vladimir] Putin showing no sign of relenting, it is vital that we bolster our support to put [Ukraine] in the best possible position for the future,” according to a readout released by his office. “He called on fellow G7 leaders to continue maximizing Putin’s pain by increasing military support to the Ukrainians and ramping up economic pressure, including via further sanctions where possible,” the statement continued. Two days earlier, the US and UK announced a new round of sanctions on Moscow, targeting what the British government called Russia’s “illicit gold trade.”• Sandbagging Trump: obstacles galore to a Ukraine deal, Stephen Bryen, Asia Times, Dec 10, 2024 Yes, many obstacles, all created directly or indirectly by the U.S. and its NATO mafia. So many, in fact, that it appears Russia will see little practical choice, if its security is not to be compromised, but to continue the war. Yes, stopping the war right now, today, would be wonderful, but that is not how the Russian military or the Russian president or the bulk of the Russian people will see it. Indeed little has changed in the attitudes of the U.S. since 2021, before the war: Russia must be destroyed. Russia delenda est. Anything that could inflict strategic defeat, or set the stage for doing so in the future, is "good," no matter how many Ukrainians are killed and no matter how much the economies of Europe are damaged. The U.S. foreign policy Blob, notwithstanding Trump's desire to be different as regards Russia, is 100% in favor of decreasing Russian security by any means necessary, and ALL diplomacy advanced by the U.S. vis-a-vis Russia is at present 100% dishonest. Trump might be sincere, but he is ephemeral. The Blob is the permanent State. Unless and until the U.S. understands its role in the world very differently, the U.S. simply cannot be trusted. Dec 15, 2024
There’s no denying that Russia is obliterating not just the AFU, but also Ukrainian society. Russian troops are advancing rapidly, and the air raids over the weekend of 16-17th of November 2024, implied that the Kremlin is ready to push Ukraine into darkness. Moreover, Russia struck the Ukrainian city of Dnipro with new hypersonic intermediate-range ballistic missile (IRBM) “Oreshnik” carrying a non-nuclear payload on early morning of 21st November. These entail that there is only one (non-nuclear) endgame in Ukraine: capitulation of the AFU, either through negotiated peace or surrender.Re the bolded part: that is the only way it can be achieved. Featured • Biden planning last-minute Ukraine arms surge – CNN, RT, Dec 14, 2024 The outgoing administration of US President Joe Biden is preparing a significant surge in weapons deliveries to Ukraine in the final weeks of his tenure, a senior official told CNN on Thursday. President-elect Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized Biden’s handling of the conflict between Moscow and Kiev, and campaigned on a promise to resolve the hostilities “within 24 hours.” However, since his election victory in November, he has not disclosed any detailed plans for achieving that goal. The US Department of Defense “is undertaking a historic effort to move massive quantities of weapons into Ukraine in the next five weeks,” the unnamed official told CNN. Washington reportedly plans to deliver “hundreds of thousands of artillery rounds, thousands of rockets, hundreds of armored vehicles, and other critical capabilities” between now and January 20, when Trump returns to the White House.Featured • How Trump Saved Christmas, Scott Ritter, Dec 13, 2024 Ritter realistically deals with our democracy deficit in his deft framing of recent events regarding ATACMs. He COULD be negative but well, semper fi. That fi makes all the difference. Nobody can accomplish anything, or see the possibilities at hand, without real personal investment. Unless we really commit ourselves we will never understand Marcus Aurelius' comment that "the impediment to action advances action. What stands in the way becomes the way”. • More regions could be added to Russia – Medvedev, RT, Dec 14, 2024 The Russian Federation could welcome more territories into the country in the future, former President Dmitry Medvedev suggested on Saturday during the ongoing United Russia party congress. Commenting on the ruling party’s efforts in helping to incorporate and develop the new regions that have joined the country, Medvedev, who currently serves as the deputy chairman of the nation‘s security council and the head of the United Russia party, suggested that this experience could one day come in handy again. “This experience may be in demand in the future if new regions very close to us appear in our country, because this is possible,” he noted.In other words, FAFO. Typical Medvedev, but not without some substance. • Biden Aims to Go Out With a Bellicose Bang, Eve Ottenberg, Counterpunch, Dec 13, 2024 Having failed thus far to ignite Nuclear Armageddon, what’s up next for the U.S. military industrial complex? I’ll tell you: New bases in Europe, 47 of them, to be exact, in Scandinavia in coming years. That’s Joe Biden’s legacy, a blood transfusion to NATO’s moribund carcass by adding Finland and Sweden and thereby ballooning the Empire’s global military footprint, a footprint of over 800 imperial foreign military bases already bankrupting us Welp, we’re gonna get 47 more, per journalist Patrick Hennigsen, and they’re gonna be near Russia. If you’re a Finn or a Swede, you might want to consider emigrating, since the pusillanimous NATO to which you now belong has set you up as a tripwire for the Atomic Apocalypse. That’s Biden’s legacy. Don’t think for a minute these bases make anyone safer. Quite the contrary. Besides being hugely provocative and thus endangering the local population, the bases’ U.S. soldiers are in harm’s way. Dec 14, 2024
Ukraine will stop the flow of Russian natural gas via its transit network on January 1, Energy Minister German Galushchenko has confirmed. A key gas transit agreement between Moscow and Kiev is due to expire on December 31, and the Ukrainian leadership has repeatedly warned that it has no plans to extend it. Several EU countries continue to rely on Russian gas, despite the sharp drop in supplies due to sanctions on Moscow and a push by Brussels to sever energy ties with Russia.• Orban intimates Russia agreed to Christmas ceasefire proposal, RT, Dec 13, 2024 Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has said that there is still time to consider his proposal for a Christmas ceasefire and a major prisoner exchange between Russia and Ukraine. Speaking about the offer he made to Moscow and Kiev earlier this week in an interview with Kossuth Radio on Friday, Orban said “one side accepted it, the other rejected it.” Judging by comments coming from Ukraine, it is Kiev that is currently reluctant to support Budapest’s initiative. ”But there are still a few days until Christmas [December 25], and this may change,” he stressed. The Hungarian proposal is aimed at making sure that “no one should die, at least, on Christmas. If the parties can come to an agreement, there could be a ceasefire on Christmas – as was the case in the First World War,” the prime minister explained. “And if a large prisoner exchange could be agreed, then hundreds… of families could be made happy,” he added. Dec 13, 2024
Six European members of NATO have released a joint statement backing Ukraine’s plan to join the US-led bloc, and promising to support the peace terms offered by Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky to Russia. Moscow has previously rejected Zelensky’s insistence on restoring Ukraine’s 1991 borders as unacceptable. The foreign ministers of the UK, France, Spain, Germany, Italy and Poland signed a declaration after meeting with the Ukrainian leader in Berlin on Thursday. “The goals of a comprehensive, just and lasting peace for Ukraine and durable security for Europe are inseparable. Ukraine must prevail,” the statement said. The countries pledged to support an end to the conflict in accordance “with full respect for Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity.” “We reaffirm our commitment to President Zelensky’s Peace Formula, as a credible path towards a just and lasting peace,” the statement read.Amazing. • Russia’s MOD explains reason for latest retaliatory strikes on Ukraine, RT, Dec 13, 2024 Overnight missile strikes on critically important Ukrainian facilities were conducted in response to Kiev’s recent ATACMS attack on a military airfield near the city of Taganrog, the Russian Defense Ministry reported on Friday.• Provoked: The Long Train Of Abuses That Culminated In The Ukraine War, ZeroHedge, Dec 12, 2024 From the summary provided, substantially or completely correct. Likely influential in Trump's circle. Dec 12, 2024
Ukrainian attacks using Western medium-range missiles are making things worse, the US president-elect has said.• Russia warns citizens against visiting US, RT, Dec 12, 2024 Russian nationals should avoid making non-essential trips to the US and allied countries, the Russian Foreign Ministry has said, warning that they could be “hunted down” by the American authorities for political reasons. Travelling to the US poses “serious risks” due to “the increasing confrontation in the Russian-American relations,” Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said during a regular press briefing on Wednesday. She stated that more Russian nationals were being “hunted down by American authorities, especially by secret services,” with Washington utilizing “fraudulent schemes” to lure Russians abroad in order to prosecute them for “political reasons.” “For the upcoming holidays and beyond, we strongly advise to avoid non-emergency visits to the US and allied countries, especially Canada and, with rare exception, the countries of the European Union,” Zakharova said.• Ukraine Faces The Loss Of Five Cities. Russia’s Offensive Gains Momentum, South Front, Dec 11, 2024 Strategically, the situation for Ukraine is rapidly deteriorating. According to former parliamentarian and AFU soldier Yegor Firsov, Kiev is facing the prospect of losing five cities at once. Chasov Yar, Kurakhovo, Pokrovsk (Krasnoarmeysk), Mirnograd (Dimitrov) and Velykaya Novosyolka could be lost in the near future. “You have no idea how many drones, money, troops, sweat, and above all our blood and lives we have lost defending these cities and positions,” Firsov summed up gloomily. (emphasis in original)• Liberal world order is over – Orban, RT, Dec 11, 2024 Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has claimed that his country’s refusal to conform to liberal ideology will yield considerable benefits in the future. “The liberal world order is over,” he declared during a speech in Budapest on Tuesday. The conservative nationalist politician has been in power since 2010, winning successive elections on a platform of defying what he considers to be authoritarian rule by Brussels. EU leaders have accused Orban of undermining democracy in Hungary and harming the economic bloc’s solidarity on the Ukraine conflict. He has argued that Brussels’ policies have been disastrous for EU member states.This is rather an important observation and is included here because I think it is right. The liberal "world order" is itself illiberal, for one thing. For another, the Middle East is devolving from (a veneer of) liberal values into a genocidal ethnostate (Greater Isreal) on the one hand, and a religion-based state (the new Syria) on the other. I bolded a remark which I think has value in the maturation of individuals, not just states. • US loan to Ukraine is ‘theft’ of Russian money – deputy FM, RT, Dec 11, 2024 The disbursement by the US of a $20 billion loan to Ukraine funded by Russia’s frozen central bank assets could be classified as theft, Deputy Foreign Minister Sergey Ryabkov has said. The US loan is part of a broader $50 billion G7 loan deal, which includes a separate $20 billion commitment by the EU and $10 billion to be split by G7 members Great Britain, Japan, and Canada. On Tuesday, the US Treasury Department announced the money had been transferred to a World Bank fund that will send it on to Kiev. “I can say that this act falls under the classification of robbery [on the part] of an organized group, I mean [on the part] of the Group of Seven,” Ryabkov told journalists on Wednesday. The US and its allies froze an estimated $300 billion in assets belonging to the Russian central bank following the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in February 2022. Dec 11, 2024
The step marks a significant escalation of the US economic war on Russia. Dec 10, 2024
Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky has rejected the idea of lowering the military mobilization age in his country, dismissing calls from the West to do so. Earlier this year, Ukraine lowered the mandatory conscription age from 27 to 25. Some former Western officials have urged Kiev to drop it further to 18, and the administration of outgoing US President Joe Biden has reportedly pushed for this behind closed doors. “The priority should be providing missiles and lowering Russia’s military potential, not Ukraine’s draft age,” Zelensky said, commenting on the idea in a post on X on Tuesday morning. “We must focus on equipping existing brigades and training personnel to use this equipment. We must not compensate the lack of equipment and training with the youth of soldiers,” he wrote.Would be the demographic death of the country, or else lead to a coup, or economic and political collapse. Team Biden doesn't care. • Georgia has prevented Maidan-style coup – PM, RT, Dec 9, 2024 Georgia has prevented an attempted overthrow of the government orchestrated by foreign powers, Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze has said. He compared the scenario allegedly prepared for the nation with the situation in Ukraine in 2014. Speaking on Monday, Kobakhidze referred to the US-backed Maidan coup in Kiev a decade ago, which ousted Ukraine’s democratically elected president, Viktor Yanukovich, and precipitated the current conflict between Moscow and Kiev. “It took the [Georgian] Ministry of Internal Affairs exactly five days to neutralize the resource of violence of the radical opposition,” Kobakhidze said at a cabinet meeting, thanking the head of the ministry, Vakhtang Gomelauri, and police officers. He added that the ministry had acted in accordance with standards “higher than the American and European ones.” Dec 9, 2024
And tomorrow the imperial blob will move its crosshairs on to the next unabsorbed nation. That’s the underlying dynamic behind all the major conflicts on earth.• One Day, Ukrainians Might Hate America, Ted Snider, Antiwar.com, Dec 9, 2024 There was a time, just before and just after the war began, that Ukraine might have lost no territory but Crimea and few lives. But America said no.• Islamist Takeover of Syria Proves Tulsi Gabbard Was Right, James Carden, Antiwar.com, Dec 9, 2024 Why did Gabbard meet with Assad? Likely because our policy toward the region was deeply immoral and strategically counterproductive. And we know this because the man serving as Washington’s chief diplomat at the time of Gabbard’s meeting was caught on tape admitting as much. Here is a transcript of then Secretary of State John Kerry in September 2016 admitting the US led ISIL run wild in the hope that it would topple Assad:• Will Trump Channel Nixon in Ukraine?, James W. Carden, The American Conservative, Dec 5, 2024…And we know that this [ISIL/Daesh] was growing, we were watching, we saw that Daesh was growing in strength, and we thought Assad was threatened…We thought, however, we could probably imagine that Assad might then negotiate, but instead of negotiating he got Putin to support him.…The reason Russia came in is because ISIL was getting stronger. Daesh was threatening the possibility of going to Damascus at some point and that’s why Russia came in. Because they didn’t want a Daesh government and they supported Assad.“They, the Russians, didn’t want a Syrian government controlled by ISIL/ISIS. There are indications that the president-elect may intend further escalation. Dec 8, 2024
Until recently, a serious geopolitical working hypothesis was that West Asia and Ukraine were two vectors of the standard Hegemon modus operandi, which is to incite and unleash Forever Wars. Now both wars are united in an Omni-War.• Cynical Overtakes Sacred, as the West Bares its True Face, Simplicius, Dec 7, 2024 I hate to send this because the writing is so over-the-top. But the havoc and destruction of democratic norms being released in the final stages of the Biden Presidency are seemingly everywhere. • Romanian presidential frontrunner claims he’s victim of coup d’etat, RT, Dec 7, 2024 The invalidation of Romania’s presidential election results by the country’s top court is a formalized coup d’etat, according to independent candidate Calin Georgescu, who clinched a surprise win in the first round last month. Georgescu outperformed the other candidates in the first round of the election with 22.94%, beating out liberal leftist candidate Elena Lasconi, who received 19.18%, and the country’s Social Democrat Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu, who finished third with 19.15%. On Friday, Romania’s Constitutional Court dismissed Georgescu’s victory, citing a clause in the nation’s laws that emphasizes the need to ensure the correctness and legality of the election. The judiciary body announced that the whole process would be resumed later.• Teenagers preparing to flee Ukraine – Times, RT, Dec 7, 2024 Many Ukrainian teenagers are planning to leave the country and never return as the US increases pressure on Kiev to lower the mobilization age, the Times has reported. Earlier this week, outgoing US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said it was not right that “18 to 25-year-olds are not in the fight” against Russia. “Getting younger people into the fight, we think, many of us think, is necessary,” he stressed.In an article on Thursday, the British paper quoted a teenager from the city of Kharkov, who said that “many” of his friends are now choosing to study abroad because “it is safer there.”“There is no risk of being taken into the army at a foreign university,” he explained, adding that he plans to study in Poland, and may not return after graduation. Dec 7, 2024
The head of the US Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS), General Charles Brown (lead image, right), has just revealed by press leak that he and the chief of the Russian General Staff, General Valery Gerasimov, had talked by telephone last week, on November 27, and agreed not to disclose the contents of their call. If that was the point of agreement the two generals reached, Gerasimov has honoured it. Brown has just now decided to break his word. “At the request of General Gerasimov, General Brown agreed to not proactively announce the call,” the New York Times has reported Brown’s spokesman saying “after he was approached by a reporter about the call”. The newspaper omitted to say that Brown had leaked information about the call in advance, in order to prepare reporters to publish the exchange.• Belarus to Host Russia’s Oreshnik in Response to US Missiles in Germany, Sputnik International, Dec 7, 2024 Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko asked Russian President Vladimir Putin to deploy the latest Russian weapons, including the Oreshnik system, on Belarusian soil on Friday following a meeting of the Supreme State Council of the Union State.Three hundred miles closer to Western Europe. • Orban blames Biden for Ukraine conflict, RT, Dec 6, 2024 US interference triggered the escalation of the Ukraine conflict in 2022, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban has said. His comments come after Moscow accused Washington of lacking “common sense and restraint” in its approach to the conflict. In an interview with public broadcaster Kossuth Radio on Friday, Orban said the United States had played a decisive role in the conflict. ”America is one of the main players in this war. Without America, this war would never have happened. Ukraine would not have been able to resist without America’s support,” the prime minister said, as quoted by the Magyar Nemzet newspaper. According to official figures, as of September 30, Washington had allocated a total of nearly $183 billion in aid for Ukraine, with $130.1 billion committed and $86.7 billion disbursed.Orban is right. • The elitist tyranny of “Western democracy” is exposed and crumbling, Finian CUnning ham, Strategic Culture Foundation, Dec 6, 2024 A bit over the top but not wrong, alas. • Dementia as a military strategy, José Goulão, Strategic Culture Foundation, Dec 5, 2024 The backbone of Washington’s action will be the same. For now, despite the changing world, the empire is still the empire. Dec 6, 2024
(0:00) Is the US at War With Russia?; (12:56) Russia’s Message to the West Through Hypersonic Weapons; (17:47) Is There Conversation Happening Between Russia and the US?; (23:18) How Many Have Died in the Ukraine/Russia War?; (28:21) What Would It Take To End the War?; (36:11) What Happened to Alexei Navalny?; (39:45) Boris Johnson Wants the War to Continue; (45:43) Sanctions on Russia; (56:31) The Chinese/Russian Alliance; (1:02:18) Who Is Making Foreign Policy Decisions in the US?; (1:05:05) Biden Pushes the US Toward Nuclear War Before Trump Takes Office; (1:08:52) What’s Happening in Syria?; (1:13:08) Lavrov’s Thoughts on Trump.Featured • Dmitry Trenin: How Russia plans to win in Ukraine, RT, Dec 5, 2024 Featured • Jeffrey Sachs - How the US Provoked the Invasion of Ukraine, Cambridge Union, Nov 11, 2024, (or the shorter substack version here) Perhaps the best short explanation of the timeline leading to the present war. Does not touch upon the motivations, which would be more subjective. Just the facts. • Russian Forces Repelled Massive Attack By Ukrainian Unmanned Boats On Crimea, South Front, Dec 6, 2024 Payed, trained and coordinated by the British military, the Armed Fores of Ukraine are upgrading their unmanned boats, trying different attack strategies. This time, the groups of their boats had a well coordinated structure, with speedy attackers, who were aimed to reach the target when they were cowered with boats armed with machine guns. However, all the efforts of the Ukrainian and NATO militaries are yet to bring results. After a prolonged pause, they definately accumulate large reserves of unmanned boats (if not destroyed by Russian strikes throughout the Odessa region), and more waves of massive strikes on the Crimean Bridge and Russian military infrastructure in Crimea should be expected, especially since the Ukrainian military refrains from strikes with NATO missiles in Russian rear regions after the Oreshnik medium-range missile was presented in action.• Erdogan’s Idlib shock shadows “Kursk”, Alastair Crooke, Strategic Culture Foundation, Dec 6, 2024 What Putin is saying – very politely – to the West is that: You still ‘don’t get it’. To seek a deal on Ukraine is to treat the symptom and to ignore a cure. The West has its policy back-to-front, in other words. Putin is clear: A definitive solution would be to delineate the frontier between Atlanticist security ‘interest’ and the security interests of the ‘World Island’ (in Mackinder’s terminology): i.e. to settle the security architecture between the ‘Heartland and the Rim-land’. Once that is done, Ukraine falls naturally into its place. It’s at the end of the agenda, not first.• NATO member state comments on Trump’s desire to end Ukraine conflict, RT, Dec 5, 2024 US President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to resolve the Ukraine conflict could soon become a reality and Budapest intends to help the Republicans achieve that goal, Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade Peter Szijjarto has said. Following a meeting in Washington on Wednesday with Trump’s candidate for National Security Advisor, Mike Waltz, Szijjarto noted that the current US administration under President Joe Biden appears to only wish to prolong the Ukraine conflict and is trying to make it harder to establish peace after Trump takes office in January. Szijjarto stated that in the US, the Democrats appear to be “on the side of war” while the Republican party is “on the side of peace.” Because of this, the issue of establishing peace in Ukraine became one of the key topics in his conversations with Waltz, the Hungarian diplomat said.Szijjarto oversimplifies, but makes a good guess. What else can he do? • Lavrov slams ‘fantasies’ about Western troops in Ukraine, RT, Dec 5, 2024 Lavrov also reiterated that Moscow welcomes any constructive initiatives to bring the Ukraine conflict to an end. However, Russia does not believe any Western-based organizations will be of any help, and is seeking to strengthen security for everyone in “our whole continent” of Eurasia, he said.• Will Schryver on X: The Russians will dictate the terms of surrender, Dec 3, 2024 And although relatively few prominent analysts are willing to admit it, the fact remains that the Russian military is now the single most potent and battle-hardened fighting force on the planet. The Russians will dictate the terms of surrender in this war because their strength affords them that privilege, and there is nothing the US and its impotent European vassals can do to alter that reality. That said, a decisive strategic defeat is going to be a very bitter pill to swallow for this second Trump administration. Hopefully they won't opt to set the world on fire in a fit of humiliated madness. Dec 5, 2024
The strategy of constructing a narrative of lies to justify going to war is certainly nothing new. There is a long history in the U.S. that appeared to reach its apogee with the lie that Iraq had a stockpile of weapons of mass destruction. That false narrative was reused with various faces with chemical weapons in Syria and, currently, with nuclear weapons in Iran.An excellent article, as far it goes. It could go further. People often forget that Donetsk and Lugansk provinces had seceded from Ukraine when Russia went in to support them, a right of self-determination supported in the UN Charter the same as it would be in Scotland or Catalonia. These provinces were no longer part of Ukraine. These provinces pleaded for Russian protection from Kiev's murderous forces in 2014; Russia supplied arms but made them wait and endure shelling and military assault by neo-Nazi mass murderers for 8 long years before finally accepting them back into Russia. Yes, back into Russia, where they had been for centuries. In 2022, under war-time conditions, Zaporozhye and Kherson provinces also voted to secede and rejoin Russia by large margins and were immediately accepted. What has happened in Ukraine is not at all the case of Russia invading a "sovereign country." That's Western propaganda. Hell, Ukraine has not been sovereign since its democratically-elected leader was overthrown by a U.S.-led coup in 2014. That was, as STRATFOR chief George Friedman then said, "the most blatant coup in history." The goal of this war is, and has always been, to defeat, subjugate, and dismember Russia. Featured • Blinken Is Pushing For Ukrainian Teens To Die For US Hegemony, Caitlin Johnstone, Dec 5, 2024 US Secretary of State Antony Blinken repeated the US government’s new position that Ukraine needs to start sending 18 to 25 year-olds to fight in its war with Russia, telling Reuters on Monday that “getting younger people into the fight, we think, many of us think, is necessary.” This comes even as polls have begun showing that Ukrainians favor making a deal with Russia to end this war as quickly as possible.Featured • The Cynical Selling of the War in Ukraine, Ted Snider, Antiwar.com, Dec 2, 2024 When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, the U.S. poured military aid into Ukraine in defense of the “core principles” of sovereignty, territorial integrity and the “sovereign right” every country has “to determine for itself with whom it will choose to associate in terms of its alliances.”The first message wasn't true of course. After 2014, Ukraine wasn't sovereign. And the pitch about natural resources was always present, in the background, since at least 2013. Time does not allow digging up citations in case some are interested. • Visa Already Issued by Malta For Zakharova Canceled on Eve of OSCE Meeting, Sputnik International , Dec 4, 2024 Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova had her visa already issued by Malta canceled on the eve of the meeting of OSCE foreign ministers, the Russian Foreign Ministry said on Wednesday. “An unprecedented case [of non-issuance of visas to members of the Russian delegation] was the cancellation on the eve of the event of the visa already issued by the Maltese Presidency to the official representative of the Russian Foreign Ministry, Maria Vladimirovna Zakharova, with the wording ‘due to circumstances beyond their control,” the statement read. The current OSCE crisis was the result of the destructive actions of a number of Western countries using this platform in their own interests, the statement read.• US House speaker rules out more Ukraine aid, RT, Dec 4, 2024 The US House of Representatives will not consider President Joe Biden’s request to include $24 billion in additional aid to Ukraine in a government funding bill, Speaker Mike Johnson has said. In the absence of a formal budget, the US government has been funded through “continuing resolutions” periodically approved by Congress. The White House has requested the $24 billion as part of its latest proposed legislation, which the House would need to adopt before adjourning for Christmas holidays. “I’m not planning to do that,” Johnson said on Wednesday, at a press conference on Capitol Hill. “It is not the place of Joe Biden to make that decision now.” The Louisiana Republican reminded reporters that he had predicted Donald Trump’s election would change the dynamics of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and make further US funding unnecessary, adding that this is precisely what’s been happening in recent weeks.• Trump has three plans for Ukraine – Reuters, RT, Dec 4, 2024 Donald Trump’s advisers have presented him with three plans for resolving the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, Reuters has reported, citing several sources close to the US president-elect.• Blinken Ramps Up Pressure For Zelensky To 'Get Younger People Into The Fight', ZeroHedge, Dec 4, 2024 It's no secret that the Biden administration has been pressuring Ukraine's Zelensky behind the scenes to drop the age of conscription down to 18 from the current age of 25. But now the White House is becoming much more direct and out in the open about it.Where are those fond if vague hopes of many during Maidan, of being as wealthy and as generally cool as Western Europeans appeared to be? Ukrainians were played. Dec 4, 2024
American journalist Tucker Carlson has said the US government has been blocking his attempts to organize an interview with Ukrainian leader Vladimir Zelensky for more than a year. On Wednesday, Carlson published a video on X in which he previewed the upcoming release of an interview with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov. The journalist said the conversation with Russia’s top diplomat was aimed at providing a perspective on how close Washington and Moscow could be to a direct clash, after the administration of outgoing US President Joe Biden granted Ukraine permission to fire American-made long-range weapons deep into Russian territory.• Georgia: A Second Front for Putin, Paul Craig Roberts, Dec 3, 2024 President Putin faces the possibility of a second Ukraine, a second war front that could result from Washington’s success in staging a coup d’etat in Georgia with a color revolution. Riots ongoing since the “Russian party” defeated the “Western party” by 54% to 34% have convinced the Prime Minister of Georgia that the West is in the process of launching a color revolution to overthrow, as was done in Ukraine, the democratically elected government. Putin is silent and consequently could find himself fighting on two fronts. Then the West will open a third front. This is what Putin can expect from consistently presenting himself as a non-interventionist unless Russia is attacked. Russia, certainly the most powerful military entity on earth, carries no weight in Western councils. Georgia, the country, became a part of Russia in early 1800. In 1917 Georgia became one of the provinces of the Soviet Union.The U.S. and its NATO allies will not rest until they have dismembered the Russian Federation. That goal also feeds the U.S. military-industrial-nuclear complex. What can bring about a change of heart here in the U.S.? Only forces too great to subvert or defeat can do it. These include domestic economic failures and widespread political disaffection with empire and war, although the latter will require leadership and moral courage we seldom see. The nobility of standing for humane values is is its own reward, however, and it is up to us to show that. • Ukraine will reject any alternative to NATO membership – Foreign Ministry, RT, Dec 3, 2024 Ukraine will not accept any kind of security guarantees as a substitute for NATO membership, according to a Foreign Ministry statement published on Tuesday. In the document issued ahead of the NATO foreign ministers’ meeting in Brussels this week, Kiev blasted the 1994 Budapest Memorandum, under which Ukraine gave up its Soviet-era nuclear arsenal for security guarantees from Russia and the West. The Foreign Ministry called the pact a “monument to short-sightedness in strategic security decision-making,” and urged its Western backers to issue it an invitation to the US-led military bloc during the meeting in Brussels. “Having the bitter experience of the Budapest Memorandum behind us, we will not settle for any alternatives, surrogates, or substitutes for Ukraine’s full membership in NATO,” the ministry said in a statement, marking this week’s 30th anniversary of the memorandum’s signing.• EU has weakened ‘a lot’ amid Ukraine conflict – Hungarian FM, RT, Dec 3, 2024 The EU approach to the Ukraine conflict has ultimately weakened the bloc “a lot,” Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto has said, branding the decision to blindly follow Washington’s polices a “big mistake.” The top diplomat made the remarks while speaking exclusively to RT’s Saskia Taylor in an interview on Monday. Comparisons between EU and US aid to Ukraine by the bloc’s leaders are a “very bad and harmful approach from the European perspective,” Szijjarto said. While the US is hardly affected by the enduring hostility between Moscow and Kiev, the conflict has taken a heavy toll on the EU, according to the minister. “There is destruction taking place in Europe, and the European economy is faced with the impacts and the consequences of this war. So therefore, following the US policies without any kind of criticism, that’s a big mistake and I do believe that the strategy the European Union has been following in the recent 1000 days is a failed one,” Szijjarto said. Dec 3, 2024
Today is the gravest danger of nuclear war than at any time in the nuclear era. This is a reality so stark and intimidating that many people feel powerless to do anything about it. But something can be done.Featured • Will the West’s Gamble in Syria and Georgia Succeed?, Larry C. Johnson, SONAR21, Dec 2, 2024 If you are looking at the war in Ukraine, the attempted Maidan coup in Georgia and the Salafist jihadi offensive in Syria as separate, unconnected events, you are mistaken. The United States, with the collaboration of several NATO countries — the UK in particular — has embarked on a desperate campaign to try to salvage victory from looming defeat.Featured • US Announces New $725 Million Arms Package for Ukraine, Dave DeCamp, Antiwar.com, Dec 2, 2024 The Biden administration on Monday announced a new $725 million weapons package for Ukraine, which includes anti-personnel mines, ammunition for the HIMARS rocket systems, and other equipment.• EU has turned into ‘war union’ – Russian senator, RT, Dec 2, 2024 The European Union has morphed into an “aggressive political bloc” and a “war union,” the Vice Speaker of the Russian parliament’s upper chamber, Konstantin Kosachev, has said. The senator criticized the EU in a Telegram post on Tuesday, pointing to the bloc’s support for the ongoing turmoil in Georgia, which has been hit by mass anti-government, pro-EU protests. The unrest has been going on since Thursday, when Prime Minister Irakli Kobakhidze announced that he would freeze accession talks with the bloc until 2028. He accused Brussels of persistent “blackmail and manipulation” of Georgia’s internal affairs in justifying the decision.• SITREP 12/2/24: Europe's Bigs Scramble Across Globe for Last Minute Jockeying, Simplicius, Dec 2, 2024 • Putin’s global influence increasing – EU’s Kallas, RT, Dec 2, 2024 Russian President Vladimir Putin’s influence in global affairs is growing, new EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas has said. Speaking to reporters in Kiev during her first official visit on Sunday, Kallas, who stepped down as Estonia’s prime minister to take the EU post, reiterated that the European Union “wants Ukraine to win this war.” She doubled down on support for military aid to Ukraine, insisting that providing the country more weapons is not “charitable aid,” but an investment in the security of the EU, since Russian President Vladimir Putin “shows no signs of abandoning his goals.” Kallas has advocated tougher sanctions on Russia and is known for her strident stance against Moscow. She also stated Sunday that supporting Ukraine is in the interests of the US. Dec 2, 2024
Over the years, that (1940s Kennan) doctrine has ossified into an entire network of security understandings, based on the archetypal conviction that America is strong, and that Russia was weak. Russia must ‘know that’, and thus, it was argued, there could be no logic for Russian strategists to imagine they had any other option but to submit to the overmatch represented by the combined military strength of NATO versus a ‘weak’ Russia. And should Russian strategists unwisely persevere with challenging the West, it was said, the inherent contrariety simply would cause Russia to fracture.It is a mistake to attribute THAT much strategic power to Oreshnik, because a) the actual energy delivered is, while precise, not that large and b) U.S. decisionmakers are stupid, unable to change their strategy. They should, but they don't. Everything remains the same, for now. Oreshnik falling on a NATO base would be a terrible escalation, all right, because U.S. and U.K. decisionmakers have no effective brakes on the machine they have created. Featured • Fighting to the last Ukrainian: Why does the West believe it occupies the high moral ground?, RT, Dec 1, 2024 For almost three years, NATO countries have boycotted diplomatic contact with Russia, even as hundreds of thousands of men die on the Ukraine conflict's battlefield. The decision to reject diplomacy is morally repugnant. Diplomacy could have reduced violence, prevented escalation, and even opened a path to peace. Instead, political and media elites skillfully presented this rejection as a sign of moral righteousness, labeling dialogue as treason and war as virtuous.We know antinuclear activists who have advocated such morally repugnant views, while claiming to be virtuous. It's that last part which is "special," as in especially nauseating. • Ukrainian military desertions skyrocketing – FT, RT, Dec 1, 2024 More than twice as many Ukrainian soldiers have been charged with desertion this year than in 2022 and 2023 combined, the Financial Times has reported. The spike in desertions has hampered Kiev’s ability to replenish its thinned-out ranks. Ukrainian prosecutors opened 60,000 cases against deserters between January and October of this year, the British newspaper reported on Saturday, noting that those convicted face prison terms of up to 12 years. For some of these men, desertion is seen as the only way of getting off the front lines to rest. Ukrainian lawmakers dropped a provision from a bill earlier this year that would have allowed the country’s longest-serving conscripts to be demobilized in the coming months, and service members told the Financial Times that the Ukrainian Armed Forces (UAF) lacks the manpower to give troops shorter four-week rotations off the front lines for rest and retraining. |
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• ‘The Real Purpose In Making The Bomb Was To Subdue The Soviets.’ Now It’s Happening Again, On A Vast Scale. Why? – July 22 At Fuller Lodge, Los Alamos Reporter, Jul 19, 2023
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